VC Nicholas Chan Part II: Identifying Winners

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How to Value a Startup Part 2: Start With What You Have

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equationValuing a startup is not an impossible task. It just takes work, and we believe that it is best achieved through a “collage” of valuations. Each valuation might, on its own, be inadequate to give the true value of the startup, but when taken together can offer the clearest picture possible of what the startup is worth.

In this week’s post on the topic, we’ll look at the first “picture” in the valuation collage. We’ll start by measuring what the business has. We can do this by adding up all of the assets owned by the business, and the adding up all of the liabilities “owed” by the business, and then subtracting the two numbers.

Assets include all the things owned by the business for the purpose of doing business: Property, raw materials, inventory, equipment, and cash. If everything was sold and converted to cash, how much would you have?

Liabilities include all the things that the company owes: Debt and loans, taxes, and payables. If all the bill collectors showed up at once and demanded every cent owed to them, how much would it be?

Now you’ve got two numbers. Subtract them and voila, you’ve got yourself your very first valuation.

Note: Although many angels are investing in companies that are pre-revenue-generating, if the company is producing revenue from some early-stage customers, you’ll also want to include accounts receivables as an asset, NOT a liability, because these are (theoretically) able to turn into cash when collected. If you are looking at a list of assets that include accounts receivables, remember that those are only theoretical assets which the government, accountants, and debt collectors consider cash, but which most of us consider slightly less valuable than cash. For example, if most of the receivables are at 90 days, there is a far less likelihood of turning that into revenue than if the receivables are at 30 days.

Some best practices to keep in mind: Make sure that everyone participating in the valuation agrees to a certain set of ground rules when determining the numbers. For example the assets should be listed at a dollar figure equivalent to what they are worth today (original cost less depreciation) rather than what they were worth when they were purchased. And if you want to be REALLY realistic, don’t assume that you will get top dollar for that gently used desk and matching chair set. If you have to sell it, it might go on Craigslist before it goes back to Chic Office Furniture Emporium.

At the end of the day, you’re not factoring in what the company could be worth if it earned regular revenue or if its patents were sold for millions to Google or if it gained the almost-overnight popularity of Twitter. You’re just looking at what the company has right now.

That’s certainly not an end point, but it’s a good place to start. Stay tuned for next week’s article on this series.

Sponsored Messages:

* Please be civilized. Comments that include ad hominem attacks or destructive criticism will be removed.

  • Ricardo
    I think JohnSharp's third point regarding new technologies may be the most challenging for some products, especially if the field is just about to leave a plateau of technology.

    For example, when digital cameras became available and affordable to virtually all consumers, that really shook up that market.
  • crimson45
    Investing can be a tricky business, Risk level is a personal thing. Obviously in the market times we have just come through everyone had some risk but those who stayed in or decide to get back in soon will make money and have good returns. In the end it will all be worth it.
  • Yes, in a down economy valuation drops and seasoned investors see it as an opportunity to purchase more equity in a startup with less capital. Assuming the startup successfully weathers the economic storm, its investors will see a higher return on their investments when the economy recovers.
  • andrew25
    A good stable way to calculate the valuation collage of a company and identifying its health status before investing in them. All these points mentioned above are essential for all Angel investors in order to make sure that they had invested properly and at the right time. Careful observation and analysis would always yield good results.
  • tongyun
    Numbers, when presented clearly, accurately, and honestly can provide a great deal of insight into the health of a company. That is where a great accountant is worth their weight in gold. As tedious as accounting can be, when you have the right person in the job, that person can help know what you company is worth and readily tell you if you're in the black or red...something an angel investor would definitely want to know.
  • In case you missed it, we're pasting our reply to your comment on How to Value a Startup Part 1: Is It Unknowable? below:

    "Sure, one can always seek professional help, such as accountants and lawyers, to value a company. But this would incur costs and is more appropriate when all parties are committed to close the deal. Some people just want to find out a ballpark figure before making their next steps, and we try to deliver this information to those who are interested.

    Of interest, accountants tend to undervalue startups whereas lawyers tend to overvalue."
  • This is a good starting point, but only if you're at the starting gates. If you're a few months or years in, as most start-ups are, then there are other considerations, namely:

    1. Replacement Value: How much would it cost to build this technology if your competitor were starting from scratch?

    2. Opportunity Cost: How long would it take to build the technology, and how much money would be left on the table waiting for it to arrive?

    3. Proving Cost: Putting new technologies into new markets always creates issues that need to be adjusted in the form of regulatory, branding, support, or pricing problems.

    The bottom line is that your start-up may be more valuable than you think - it's all in how you look at the value.
  • Thanks for the visit, John.

    The beauty of writing a series is that we can incorporate everyone’s comments into future posts. Your points above will certainly be covered. We plan to begin with the easiest concepts and gradually move on to more complex discussions. Please do come back and share your insights with us.
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